Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 63.3% Odds: 1.48 -6.3%
Over 3.5 47.3% Odds: 2.15 +1.7%
BTTS 58.6% Odds: 1.44 -15.6%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 2-1 ✘
2nd 1-1 ✘
3rd 2-0 ✔
4th 3-1 ✘
5th 3-0 ✘
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 -6.3% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-6.3%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.38) vs P(Home)=53.4%