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Australia - New South Wales NPL logo Australia flag Australia - New South Wales NPL Regular Season - 15 Rockdale Ilinden Sports Centre· Sydney Friday, May 15, 2026 09:30
Sydney FC B logo Sydney FC B PPG 1.38
2-0 HIT CS3
Sydney Olympic logo Sydney Olympic PPG 0.50
Over3.5· +1.7% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 53.4%
Odds: 1.68 EV: -10.3%
Draw 24.2%
Odds: 3.75 EV: -5.5%
Away 22.4%
Odds: 4.20 EV: -3.5%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 63.3% Odds: 1.48 -6.3%
Over 3.5 47.3% Odds: 2.15 +1.7%
BTTS 58.6% Odds: 1.44 -15.6%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-1
2nd 1-1
3rd 2-0
4th 3-1
5th 3-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Sydney FC B
2.38
Sydney Olympic
1.16

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -6.3% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-6.3%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.38) vs P(Home)=53.4%

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