Today / Australia - New South Wales NPL / Sydney FC B vs Sydney Olympic

Sydney FC B vs Sydney Olympic Prediction— Australia - New South Wales NPL

Regular Season - 15 ·Friday, May 15, 2026, 09:30

Sydney FC B

PPG 1.38 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Sydney Olympic

PPG 0.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 63.3% vs bookmaker-implied 67.6%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.9%0-13.4%0-21.9%0-30.8%0-4+0.3%1 1-06.9%1-18.0%1-24.6%1-31.8%1-4+0.7%2 2-08.2%2-19.5%2-25.5%2-32.1%2-4+0.8%3 3-06.5%3-17.6%3-24.4%3-31.7%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-06.8%4+-17.9%4+-24.6%4+-31.8%4+-4+0.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.4% 59.5% 1.68 -10.3%

Draw 24.2% 26.7% 3.75 -5.5%

Away win 22.4% 23.8% 4.20 -3.5%

Over 2.5 63.3% 67.6% 1.48 -6.3%

Over 3.5 47.3% 46.5% 2.15 +1.7%

BTTS 58.6% 69.4% 1.44 -15.6%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 111 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 49%

O2.5 51%

BTTS 51%

Score Hit 40%

ROI -14.0%

Bet Hit 55%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 54%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)2.4 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob58.6%

H 53% / xG 2.4-1.2 / O2.5 63% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 9.5%

#2 1–1 8.0%

#3 2–0✓ 8.2%

#4 3–1 7.6%

#5 3–0 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sydney FC B2.4

Sydney Olympic1.2

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.3% · O3.5 PROB 47.3%

Form & verdict PPG

SYDNEY FC B · PPG 1.38

SYDNEY OLYMPIC · PPG 0.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.38) vs P(Home)=53.4%

Win probability 1X2

Sydney FC B (H) 53.4%

ODDS 1.68 · IMPLIED 59.5% EV -10.3%

Draw 24.2%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV -5.5%

Sydney Olympic (A) 22.4%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV -3.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Sydney FC B face Sydney Olympic in Australia - New South Wales NPL on Friday, May 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sydney FC B a 53% chance, the draw 24% and Sydney Olympic 22%, so Sydney FC B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for Sydney FC B and 1.2 for Sydney Olympic (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sydney FC B are averaging 1.38 points per game versus 0.50 for Sydney Olympic. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +1.7%. This match finished 2-0.

Sydney FC B vs Sydney Olympic Prediction— Australia - New South Wales NPL

Match Preview & Prediction

More Australia - New South Wales NPL Predictions