Today / Al Tai vs Jeddah

Al Tai vs Jeddah Prediction

Thursday, May 14, 2026

Al Tai

PPG 1.25 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Jeddah

PPG 1.44 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.25), Away AVERAGE (1.44)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.3%0-18.4%0-24.8%0-31.8%0-4+0.7%1 1-010.8%1-112.3%1-27.0%1-32.7%1-4+1.0%2 2-08.0%2-19.1%2-25.2%2-32.0%2-4+0.7%3 3-03.9%3-14.5%3-22.5%3-31.0%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-02.0%4+-12.3%4+-21.3%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.6% — — —

Draw 28.1% — — —

Away win 27.3% — — —

Over 2.5 52.3% — — —

Over 3.5 26.7% — — —

BTTS 52.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 26%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob52.6%

H 45% / xG 1.5-1.1 / O2.5 52% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.3%

#2 0–0 7.3%

#3 2–1 9.1%

#4 1–0 10.8%

#5 2–0✓ 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Al Tai1.5

Jeddah1.1

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.3% · O3.5 PROB 26.7%

Form & verdict PPG

AL TAI · PPG 1.25

JEDDAH · PPG 1.44

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.25), Away AVERAGE (1.44)

Win probability 1X2

Al Tai (H) 44.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 28.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Jeddah (A) 27.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Tai face Jeddah on Thursday, May 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Tai a 45% chance, the draw 28% and Jeddah 27%, so Al Tai are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Al Tai and 1.1 for Jeddah (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Tai are averaging 1.25 points per game versus 1.44 for Jeddah. This match finished 2-0.

Al Tai vs Jeddah Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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