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Torslanda vs Qviding Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Västra Götaland

Västra Götaland - 8 ·Thursday, May 14, 2026, 11:00

Torslanda

PPG 2.00 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Qviding

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 63.9% vs bookmaker-implied 75.2%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.5%0-13.5%0-24.1%0-33.2%0-4+3.2%1 1-02.8%1-16.6%1-27.6%1-35.9%1-4+6.0%2 2-02.6%2-16.1%2-27.1%2-35.5%2-4+5.6%3 3-01.6%3-13.8%3-24.4%3-33.4%3-4+3.5%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-12.7%4+-23.2%4+-32.4%4+-4+2.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 34.7% 50.0% 2.00 -30.6%

Draw 23.0% 27.0% 3.70 -8.9%

Away win 42.3% 33.3% 3.00 +26.9%

Over 2.5 63.3% 72.5% 1.38 -12.7%

Over 3.5 60.3% 51.3% 1.95 +17.6%

BTTS 63.9% 75.2% 1.33 -15.0%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 73%

BTTS 73%

Score Hit 37%

ROI 0.3%

Bet Hit 69%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 3 48%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)2.3 BTTS prob63.9%

A 42% / xG 1.9-2.3 / O2.5 63% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2✓ 7.6%

#2 1–1 6.6%

#3 2–2 7.1%

#4 2–1 6.1%

#5 1–3 5.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Torslanda1.9

Qviding2.3

COMBINED 4.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.3% · O3.5 PROB 60.3%

Form & verdict PPG

TORSLANDA · PPG 2.00

QVIDING · PPG 2.00

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.00), Away EXCELLENT (2.00)

Win probability 1X2

Torslanda (H) 34.7%

ODDS 2.00 · IMPLIED 50.0% EV -30.6%

Draw 23.0%

ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV -8.9%

Qviding (A) 42.3%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV +26.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Torslanda face Qviding in Sweden - Division 2 - Västra Götaland on Thursday, May 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Torslanda a 35% chance, the draw 23% and Qviding 42%, so Qviding are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Torslanda and 2.3 for Qviding (4.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Torslanda are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 2.00 for Qviding. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +26.9%. This match finished 1-2.

Torslanda vs Qviding Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Västra Götaland

Match Preview & Prediction

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