Vastra Frolunda vs Kongahalla Prediction & Tips

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Sweden - Division 2 - Västra Götaland Västra Götaland - 8 Thursday, May 14, 2026 11:00

Vastra Frolunda PPG 1.75

4-0 MISS

Kongahalla PPG 0.67

Over3.5· +14.3% ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

80% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 53.2%

Odds: 1.83 EV: -2.6%

Draw 22.8%

Odds: 3.80 EV: -8.0%

Away 24.0%

Odds: 3.45 EV: -10.3%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 63.3% Odds: 1.36 -13.9%

Over 3.5 59.2% Odds: 1.93 +14.3%

BTTS 63.0% Odds: 1.33 -16.2%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-1 ✘

2nd 3-1 ✘

3rd 1-1 ✘

4th 2-2 ✘

5th 2-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Vastra Frolunda

2.66

Kongahalla

1.48

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -13.9% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-13.9%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

80%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.75) vs P(Home)=53.2%