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Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Götaland logo Sweden flag Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Götaland Norra Götaland - 8 Thursday, May 14, 2026 12:00
Kumla logo Kumla PPG 1.67
0-2 MISS
Skara logo Skara PPG 1.33
Home· +14.6% ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 51.4%
Odds: 2.23 EV: +14.6%
Draw 25.0%
Odds: 3.40 EV: -9.0%
Away 23.6%
Odds: 2.55 EV: -23.9%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.4% Odds: 1.44 -14.5%
Over 3.5 34.6% Odds: 2.10 -27.3%
BTTS 58.6% Odds: —
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 2-0
4th 1-0
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Kumla
1.80
Skara
1.17

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -14.5% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-14.5%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

League Track Record

Based on 15 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 60%
O2.5/Under 60%
BTTS/No 53%
Score Hit 27%

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.67) > Away AVERAGE (1.33)

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