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Sweden - Division 2 - Västra Götaland logo Sweden flag Sweden - Division 2 - Västra Götaland Västra Götaland - 8 Thursday, May 14, 2026 12:00
Landvetter logo Landvetter PPG 3.00
0-1 MISS
Boljan logo Boljan PPG 1.25
Draw· +9.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 54.0%
Odds: 1.48 EV: -20.1%
Draw 26.3%
Odds: 4.40 EV: +9.4%
Away 19.8%
Odds: 5.00 EV: -0.6%
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 48.1% Odds: 1.40 -32.7%
Over 3.5 24.9% Odds: 2.05 -29.4%
BTTS 48.1% Odds: 1.48 -28.8%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0
2nd 1-0
3rd 1-1
4th 0-0
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Landvetter
1.85
Boljan
0.68

Model Suggestion

Home -20.1% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -20.1% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Draw (+9.4%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (3.00) vs P(Home)=54.0%

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