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Landvetter vs Boljan Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Västra Götaland

Västra Götaland - 8 ·Thursday, May 14, 2026, 12:00

Landvetter

PPG 3.00 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

Boljan

PPG 1.25 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 54.0% vs bookmaker-implied 67.6%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.9%0-15.4%0-21.8%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-014.7%1-110.0%1-23.4%1-30.8%1-4+0.1%2 2-013.7%2-19.3%2-23.1%2-30.7%2-4+0.1%3 3-08.4%3-15.7%3-21.9%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-06.0%4+-14.0%4+-21.4%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 54.0% 67.6% 1.48 -20.1%

Draw 26.3% 22.7% 4.40 +9.4%

Away win 19.8% 20.0% 5.00 -0.6%

Over 2.5 48.1% 71.4% 1.40 -32.7%

Over 3.5 24.9% 48.8% 2.05 -29.4%

BTTS 48.1% 67.6% 1.48 -28.8%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 73%

BTTS 73%

Score Hit 37%

ROI 0.3%

Bet Hit 69%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 29%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob48.1%

H 54% / xG 1.9-0.7 / O2.5 48% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 13.7%

#2 1–0 14.7%

#3 1–1 10.0%

#4 0–0 7.9%

#5 2–1 9.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Landvetter1.9

Boljan0.7

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 48.1% · O3.5 PROB 24.9%

Form & verdict PPG

LANDVETTER · PPG 3.00

BOLJAN · PPG 1.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (3.00) vs P(Home)=54.0%

Win probability 1X2

Landvetter (H) 54.0%

ODDS 1.48 · IMPLIED 67.6% EV -20.1%

Draw 26.3%

ODDS 4.40 · IMPLIED 22.7% EV +9.4%

Boljan (A) 19.8%

ODDS 5.00 · IMPLIED 20.0% EV -0.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Landvetter face Boljan in Sweden - Division 2 - Västra Götaland on Thursday, May 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Landvetter a 54% chance, the draw 26% and Boljan 20%, so Landvetter are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Landvetter and 0.7 for Boljan (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Landvetter are averaging 3.00 points per game versus 1.25 for Boljan. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +9.4%. This match finished 0-1.

Landvetter vs Boljan Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Västra Götaland

Match Preview & Prediction

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