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Sweden - Division 2 - Östra Götaland logo Sweden flag Sweden - Division 2 - Östra Götaland Södra Götaland - 8 Thursday, May 14, 2026 12:00
Vaxjo Norra logo Vaxjo Norra PPG 2.33
2-1 MISS
Linero logo Linero PPG 2.25
Draw· +9.9% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 43.4%
Odds: 1.91 EV: -17.1%
Draw 30.1%
Odds: 3.65 EV: +9.9%
Away 26.5%
Odds: 3.25 EV: -8.3%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 45.8% Odds: 1.45 -33.6%
Over 3.5 19.1% Odds: 2.10 -35.9%
BTTS 52.1% Odds: 1.40 -27.1%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 1-0
4th 0-1
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Vaxjo Norra
1.26
Linero
1.00

Model Suggestion

BTTS -27.1% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -27.1% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Draw (+9.9%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.33), Away EXCELLENT (2.25)

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