Today / Al Arabi vs Al Jandal

Al Arabi vs Al Jandal Prediction

Thursday, May 14, 2026

Al Arabi

PPG 0.88 · HOME

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Al Jandal

PPG 0.75 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.88), Away POOR (0.75)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.3%0-111.7%0-27.3%0-33.0%0-4+1.2%1 1-010.5%1-113.1%1-28.2%1-33.4%1-4+1.4%2 2-05.9%2-17.3%2-24.6%2-31.9%2-4+0.8%3 3-02.2%3-12.7%3-21.7%3-30.7%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-11.0%4+-20.6%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.8% — — —

Draw 28.9% — — —

Away win 35.3% — — —

Over 2.5 47.0% — — —

Over 3.5 21.6% — — —

BTTS 52.1% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 30%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob52.1%

D 29% / xG 1.1-1.2 / U2.5 47% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.1%

#2 0–0 9.3%

#3 0–1 11.7%

#4 1–0 10.5%

#5 1–2 8.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Al Arabi1.1

Al Jandal1.3

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 47.0% · O3.5 PROB 21.6%

Form & verdict PPG

AL ARABI · PPG 0.88

AL JANDAL · PPG 0.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.88), Away POOR (0.75)

Win probability 1X2

Al Arabi (H) 35.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 28.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Al Jandal (A) 35.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Arabi face Al Jandal on Thursday, May 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Arabi a 36% chance, the draw 29% and Al Jandal 35%, so Al Arabi are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Al Arabi and 1.3 for Al Jandal (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Arabi are averaging 0.88 points per game versus 0.75 for Al Jandal. This match finished 0-2.

Al Arabi vs Al Jandal Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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