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Parndorf vs SV Horn Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - Ost

Ost - 31 ·Thursday, May 14, 2026, 15:00

Parndorf

PPG 2.23 · HOME

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

SV Horn

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.23) vs P(Home)=48.2%

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.1%0-18.2%0-24.1%0-31.4%0-4+0.4%1 1-012.2%1-112.3%1-26.2%1-32.1%1-4+0.6%2 2-09.2%2-19.2%2-24.6%2-31.6%2-4+0.5%3 3-04.6%3-14.6%3-22.3%3-30.8%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-02.4%4+-12.4%4+-21.2%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.2% — — —

Draw 27.3% — — —

Away win 24.5% — — —

Over 2.5 47.4% — — —

Over 3.5 24.5% — — —

BTTS 52.1% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 13%

ROI -8.5%

Bet Hit 64%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 24%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob52.1%

H 48% / xG 1.5-1.0 / O2.5 47% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.3%

#2 1–0 12.2%

#3 0–0 8.1%

#4 2–1 9.2%

#5 2–0 9.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Parndorf1.5

SV Horn1.0

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 47.4% · O3.5 PROB 24.5%

Form & verdict PPG

PARNDORF · PPG 2.23

SV HORN · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.23) vs P(Home)=48.2%

Win probability 1X2

Parndorf (H) 48.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

SV Horn (A) 24.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Parndorf face SV Horn in Austria - Regionalliga - Ost on Thursday, May 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Parndorf a 48% chance, the draw 27% and SV Horn 25%, so Parndorf are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Parndorf and 1.0 for SV Horn (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Parndorf are averaging 2.23 points per game versus 1.00 for SV Horn. This match finished 0-2.

Parndorf vs SV Horn Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - Ost

Match Preview & Prediction

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