Today / Hoyvik vs TB Tvoroyri

Hoyvik vs TB Tvoroyri Prediction

Thursday, May 14, 2026

Hoyvik

PPG 0.75 · HOME

2 – 5

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

TB Tvoroyri

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 5.0 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.7%0-11.7%0-22.0%0-31.6%0-4+1.8%1 1-01.8%1-14.3%1-25.2%1-34.2%1-4+4.5%2 2-02.3%2-15.5%2-26.6%2-35.3%2-4+5.7%3 3-01.9%3-14.7%3-25.6%3-34.5%3-4+4.8%4+ 4+-02.3%4+-15.5%4+-26.6%4+-35.3%4+-4+5.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 42.1% — — —

Draw 23.0% — — —

Away win 34.9% — — —

Over 2.5 78.8% — — —

Over 3.5 72.9% — — —

BTTS 66.7% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 61%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-5

xG (home)2.5 xG (away)2.4 BTTS prob66.7%

H 42% / xG 2.5-2.4 / O2.5 79% / BTTS 67%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–2 6.6%

#2 3–2 5.6%

#3 2–1 5.5%

#4 2–3 5.3%

#5 1–2 5.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hoyvik2.5

TB Tvoroyri2.4

COMBINED 5.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 78.8% · O3.5 PROB 72.9%

Form & verdict PPG

HOYVIK · PPG 0.75

TB TVOROYRI · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.75), Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Hoyvik (H) 42.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

TB Tvoroyri (A) 34.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Hoyvik face TB Tvoroyri on Thursday, May 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hoyvik a 42% chance, the draw 23% and TB Tvoroyri 35%, so Hoyvik are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.5 for Hoyvik and 2.4 for TB Tvoroyri (5.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-2. There is a 79% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 67% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hoyvik are averaging 0.75 points per game versus 1.00 for TB Tvoroyri. This match finished 2-5.

Hoyvik vs TB Tvoroyri Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

More Football Predictions