Metalist 1925 vs Kudrivka Prediction— Ukraine - Premier League

Ukraine - Premier League Regular Season - 24 Tsentralnyi Stadion· Zhytomyr Saturday, April 18, 2026 12:30

Metalist 1925 PPG 1.91

1-0 HIT MostLikelyScore

Kudrivka PPG 0.45

Home· +11.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned

68% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Metalist 1925 face Kudrivka in Ukraine - Premier League on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Metalist 1925 a 74% chance, the draw 19% and Kudrivka 6%, so Metalist 1925 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Metalist 1925 and 0.4 for Kudrivka (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 38% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 26% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Metalist 1925 are averaging 1.91 points per game versus 0.45 for Kudrivka. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +11.5%. This match finished 1-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 74.3%

Odds: 1.50 EV: +11.5%

Draw 19.4%

Odds: 3.75 EV: -27.3%

Away 6.3%

Odds: 6.20 EV: -60.9%

Model lean: Home

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 38.4% Odds: 1.95 -25.1%

Over 3.5 18.6% Odds: 3.40 -36.8%

BTTS 25.5% Odds: 2.00 -49.0%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0 ✔

2nd 2-0 ✘

3rd 3-0 ✘

4th 0-0 ✘

5th 1-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Metalist 1925

1.86

Kudrivka

0.36

Model SuggestionHome +11.5% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home. 

League Track Record ↗

Based on 57 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5/Under 63%

BTTS/No 68%

Score Hit 56%

ROI -3.6%

Bet Hit 57% (14 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned

68%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in GOOD form (1.91), Away POOR (0.45) - Strong consensus