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National Bank vs Petrojet Prediction— Egypt - Premier League

Relegation Group - 10 ·Wednesday, May 13, 2026, 17:00

National Bank

PPG 1.47 · HOME

2 – 3

FULL TIME

Petrojet

PPG 1.13 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-017.2%0-112.1%0-24.2%0-31.0%0-4+0.2%1 1-018.2%1-112.8%1-24.5%1-31.0%1-4+0.2%2 2-09.6%2-16.8%2-22.4%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-03.4%3-12.4%3-20.8%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-10.8%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 42.8% 56.2% 1.78 -23.8%

Draw 33.1% 29.4% 3.40 +12.5%

Away win 24.1% 23.3% 4.30 +2.2%

Over 2.5 34.7% 50.0% 2.00 -30.6%

Over 3.5 10.2% 27.8% 3.60 -38.0%

BTTS 45.9% 54.1% 1.85 -15.1%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 39%

O2.5 59%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 46%

ROI -23.4%

Bet Hit 36%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 38%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-3

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob45.9%

H 43% / xG 1.1-0.7 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 17.2%

#2 1–0 18.2%

#3 1–1 12.8%

#4 0–1 12.1%

#5 2–0 9.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

National Bank1.1

Petrojet0.7

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.7% · O3.5 PROB 10.2%

Form & verdict PPG

NATIONAL BANK · PPG 1.47

PETROJET · PPG 1.13

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.47) > Away AVERAGE (1.13)

Win probability 1X2

National Bank (H) 42.8%

ODDS 1.78 · IMPLIED 56.2% EV -23.8%

Draw 33.1%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV +12.5%

Petrojet (A) 24.1%

ODDS 4.30 · IMPLIED 23.3% EV +2.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

National Bank face Petrojet in Egypt - Premier League on Wednesday, May 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives National Bank a 43% chance, the draw 33% and Petrojet 24%, so National Bank are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for National Bank and 0.7 for Petrojet (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, National Bank are averaging 1.47 points per game versus 1.13 for Petrojet. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +12.5%. This match finished 2-3.

National Bank vs Petrojet Prediction— Egypt - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

More Egypt - Premier League Predictions