Today / VV Scherpenzeel vs Eemdijk

VV Scherpenzeel vs Eemdijk Prediction

Group A - 30 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 12:30

VV Scherpenzeel

PPG 1.86 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Eemdijk

PPG 1.86 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.0 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.8%0-13.8%0-24.0%0-32.8%0-4+2.4%1 1-03.4%1-17.2%1-27.6%1-35.4%1-4+4.6%2 2-03.3%2-16.9%2-27.3%2-35.1%2-4+4.4%3 3-02.1%3-14.4%3-24.6%3-33.3%3-4+2.8%4+ 4+-01.5%4+-13.3%4+-23.4%4+-32.4%4+-4+2.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.9% — — —

Draw 20.6% — — —

Away win 43.5% — — —

Over 2.5 76.4% — — —

Over 3.5 57.0% — — —

BTTS 74.8% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 62%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)2.1 BTTS prob74.8%

A 44% / xG 1.9-2.1 / O2.5 76% / BTTS 75%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 7.6%

#2 2–2 7.3%

#3 1–1✓ 7.2%

#4 2–1 6.9%

#5 1–3 5.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

VV Scherpenzeel1.9

Eemdijk2.1

COMBINED 4.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 76.4% · O3.5 PROB 57.0%

Form & verdict PPG

VV SCHERPENZEEL · PPG 1.86

EEMDIJK · PPG 1.86

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.86), Away GOOD (1.86)

Win probability 1X2

VV Scherpenzeel (H) 35.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Eemdijk (A) 43.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

VV Scherpenzeel face Eemdijk on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives VV Scherpenzeel a 36% chance, the draw 21% and Eemdijk 44%, so Eemdijk are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for VV Scherpenzeel and 2.1 for Eemdijk (4.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 76% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 75% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, VV Scherpenzeel are averaging 1.86 points per game versus 1.86 for Eemdijk. This match finished 1-1.

VV Scherpenzeel vs Eemdijk Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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