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Kudrivka vs Rukh Lviv Prediction— Ukraine - Premier League

Wednesday, May 13, 2026, 10:00

Kudrivka

PPG 1.23 · HOME

UPCOMING

Rukh Lviv

PPG 0.77 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.2%0-19.4%0-23.6%0-30.9%0-4+0.2%1 1-016.2%1-112.5%1-24.8%1-31.2%1-4+0.3%2 2-010.8%2-18.4%2-23.2%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-04.8%3-13.7%3-21.4%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-02.1%4+-11.7%4+-20.6%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.5% 46.5% 2.15 +6.4%

Draw 27.8% 32.3% 3.10 -8.3%

Away win 22.7% 30.3% 3.30 -15.0%

Over 2.5 44.1% 44.4% 2.25 -0.8%

Over 3.5 16.2% 23.8% 4.20 -19.2%

BTTS 48.1% 52.6% 1.90 -8.6%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 57 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 63%

BTTS 68%

Score Hit 56%

ROI 11.4%

Bet Hit 72%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 34%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob48.1%

H 50% / xG 1.3-0.8 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.5%

#2 1–0 16.2%

#3 0–0 12.2%

#4 2–0 10.8%

#5 2–1 8.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kudrivka1.3

Rukh Lviv0.8

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.1% · O3.5 PROB 16.2%

Form & verdict PPG

KUDRIVKA · PPG 1.23

RUKH LVIV · PPG 0.77

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.23) > Away POOR (0.77)

Win probability 1X2

Kudrivka (H) 49.5%

ODDS 2.15 · IMPLIED 46.5% EV +6.4%

Draw 27.8%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -8.3%

Rukh Lviv (A) 22.7%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -15.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Kudrivka face Rukh Lviv in Ukraine - Premier League on Wednesday, May 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kudrivka a 50% chance, the draw 28% and Rukh Lviv 23%, so Kudrivka are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Kudrivka and 0.8 for Rukh Lviv (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kudrivka are averaging 1.23 points per game versus 0.77 for Rukh Lviv. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +6.4%.

Kudrivka vs Rukh Lviv Prediction— Ukraine - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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