Today / Staphorst vs Genemuiden

Staphorst vs Genemuiden Prediction

Group A - 30 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 12:30

Staphorst

PPG 1.79 · HOME

0 – 4

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Genemuiden

PPG 1.71 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.79), Away GOOD (1.71)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.1%0-15.2%0-24.5%0-32.6%0-4+1.6%1 1-05.4%1-19.3%1-28.0%1-34.5%1-4+2.9%2 2-04.8%2-18.2%2-27.1%2-34.0%2-4+2.5%3 3-02.8%3-14.9%3-24.2%3-32.4%3-4+1.5%4+ 4+-01.9%4+-13.2%4+-22.8%4+-31.6%4+-4+1.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 40.1% — — —

Draw 22.3% — — —

Away win 37.6% — — —

Over 2.5 67.7% — — —

Over 3.5 46.1% — — —

BTTS 68.1% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 51%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-4

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob68.1%

H 40% / xG 1.8-1.7 / O2.5 68% / BTTS 68%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.3%

#2 2–1 8.2%

#3 1–2 8.0%

#4 2–2 7.1%

#5 1–0 5.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Staphorst1.8

Genemuiden1.7

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.7% · O3.5 PROB 46.1%

Form & verdict PPG

STAPHORST · PPG 1.79

GENEMUIDEN · PPG 1.71

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.79), Away GOOD (1.71)

Win probability 1X2

Staphorst (H) 40.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Genemuiden (A) 37.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Staphorst face Genemuiden on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Staphorst a 40% chance, the draw 22% and Genemuiden 38%, so Staphorst are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Staphorst and 1.7 for Genemuiden (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 68% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Staphorst are averaging 1.79 points per game versus 1.71 for Genemuiden. This match finished 0-4.

Staphorst vs Genemuiden Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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