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Veres vs Kryvbas KR Prediction— Ukraine - Premier League

Matchday 28 ·Tuesday, May 12, 2026, 15:00

Veres

PPG 1.23 · HOME

LAST 5

DDLLL

1 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Kryvbas KR

PPG 1.31 · AWAY

LAST 5

DWWLD

// Model verdict

BTTS 62% chance

Model probability 52.8% vs bookmaker-implied 65.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.2%0-110.2%0-27.3%0-33.4%0-4+1.7%1 1-08.7%1-112.4%1-28.8%1-34.2%1-4+2.0%2 2-05.3%2-17.5%2-25.3%2-32.5%2-4+1.2%3 3-02.1%3-13.0%3-22.1%3-31.0%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-11.2%4+-20.8%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.4% 38.5% 2.60 -5.4%

Draw 27.7% 30.3% 3.30 -5.1%

Away win 36.0% 40.8% 2.45 -11.8%

Over 2.5 52.3% 57.8% 1.73 -9.5%

Over 3.5 27.1% 36.4% 2.75 -15.3%

BTTS 52.8% 65.4% 1.53 -19.2%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 78 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 55%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 51%

ROI 13.9%

Bet Hit 63%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 23%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-3

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob52.8%

H 36% / xG 1.2-1.4 / O2.5 52% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.4%

#2 0–0 7.2%

#3 1–2 8.8%

#4 0–1 10.2%

#5 2–1 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Veres1.2

Kryvbas KR1.4

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.3% · O3.5 PROB 27.1%

Form & verdict PPG

VERES · PPG 1.23

KRYVBAS KR · PPG 1.31

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

62%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.23), Away AVERAGE (1.31)

Win probability 1X2

Veres (H) 36.4%

ODDS 2.60 · IMPLIED 38.5% EV -5.4%

Draw 27.7%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -5.1%

Kryvbas KR (A) 36.0%

ODDS 2.45 · IMPLIED 40.8% EV -11.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Veres face Kryvbas KR in Ukraine - Premier League on Tuesday, May 12, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Veres a 36% chance, the draw 28% and Kryvbas KR 36%, so Veres are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Veres and 1.4 for Kryvbas KR (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Veres are averaging 1.23 points per game versus 1.31 for Kryvbas KR. This match finished 1-3.

Veres vs Kryvbas KR Prediction— Ukraine - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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