Ukraine - Premier LeagueRegular Season - 28Arena Livyi Bereg· KyivTuesday, May 12, 202612:30
EpisentrPPG 0.92
3-2MISS
PolessyaPPG 2.31
BTTS· +10.1%🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity
95% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home12.6%
Odds: 8.25EV: +2.4%
Draw25.8%
Odds: 4.00EV: +1.9%
Away61.7%
Odds: 1.36EV: -16.1%
Model lean: AwayNot tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.552.3%Odds: 1.95+2.0%
Over 3.526.8%Odds: 3.35-6.1%
BTTS51.2%Odds: 2.15+10.1%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st0-2✘
2nd0-1✘
3rd1-1✘
4th1-2✘
5th0-0✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Episentr
0.77
Polessya
1.85
Model Suggestion
Away-16.1%NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Away, but EV is -16.1% at these odds — not a recommended bet. Highest raw EV: BTTS (+10.1%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity
95%
UPSET_VALUE
Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.31) vs Home POOR (0.92)