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Ukraine - Premier League logo Ukraine flag Ukraine - Premier League Regular Season - 28 Arena Livyi Bereg· Kyiv Tuesday, May 12, 2026 12:30
Episentr logo Episentr PPG 0.92
3-2 MISS
Polessya logo Polessya PPG 2.31
BTTS· +10.1% 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity
95% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 12.6%
Odds: 8.25 EV: +2.4%
Draw 25.8%
Odds: 4.00 EV: +1.9%
Away 61.7%
Odds: 1.36 EV: -16.1%
Model lean: Away Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 52.3% Odds: 1.95 +2.0%
Over 3.5 26.8% Odds: 3.35 -6.1%
BTTS 51.2% Odds: 2.15 +10.1%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-2
2nd 0-1
3rd 1-1
4th 1-2
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Episentr
0.77
Polessya
1.85

Model Suggestion

Away -16.1% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Away, but EV is -16.1% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: BTTS (+10.1%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity
95%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.31) vs Home POOR (0.92)

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