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Jong Almere C. vs Jong Sparta Prediction

Unknown League Saturday, April 18, 2026
Jong Almere C. PPG 1.64
3-0 MISS
Jong Sparta PPG 1.50
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Jong Almere C. face Jong Sparta on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Jong Almere C. a 42% chance, the draw 18% and Jong Sparta 40%, so Jong Almere C. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.7 for Jong Almere C. and 2.6 for Jong Sparta (5.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-2. There is a 90% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 86% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Jong Almere C. are averaging 1.64 points per game versus 1.50 for Jong Sparta. This match finished 3-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 42.4%
Odds: — EV: —
Draw 17.9%
Odds: — EV: —
Away 39.6%
Odds: — EV: —
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 89.8% Odds: —
Over 3.5 77.4% Odds: —
BTTS 86.3% Odds: —
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-2
2nd 3-2
3rd 2-3
4th 3-3
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Jong Almere C.
2.69
Jong Sparta
2.61

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.64), Away GOOD (1.50)

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