Today / Odra Opole vs Grodzisk M.

Odra Opole vs Grodzisk M. Prediction

Monday, May 11, 2026

Odra Opole

PPG 1.53 · HOME

3 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Grodzisk M.

PPG 1.07 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.53) > Away AVERAGE (1.07)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.9%0-19.7%0-26.0%0-32.4%0-4+1.0%1 1-010.3%1-112.7%1-27.8%1-33.2%1-4+1.3%2 2-06.8%2-18.3%2-25.1%2-32.1%2-4+0.8%3 3-03.0%3-13.6%3-22.2%3-30.9%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-11.6%4+-21.0%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 37.5% — — —

Draw 27.9% — — —

Away win 34.6% — — —

Over 2.5 48.5% — — —

Over 3.5 25.2% — — —

BTTS 52.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 19%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-1

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob52.6%

H 38% / xG 1.3-1.2 / O2.5 48% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.7%

#2 0–0 7.9%

#3 1–0 10.3%

#4 2–1 8.3%

#5 1–2 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Odra Opole1.3

Grodzisk M.1.2

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 48.5% · O3.5 PROB 25.2%

Form & verdict PPG

ODRA OPOLE · PPG 1.53

GRODZISK M. · PPG 1.07

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.53) > Away AVERAGE (1.07)

Win probability 1X2

Odra Opole (H) 37.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Grodzisk M. (A) 34.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Odra Opole face Grodzisk M. on Monday, May 11, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Odra Opole a 38% chance, the draw 28% and Grodzisk M. 35%, so Odra Opole are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Odra Opole and 1.2 for Grodzisk M. (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Odra Opole are averaging 1.53 points per game versus 1.07 for Grodzisk M.. This match finished 3-1.

Odra Opole vs Grodzisk M. Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

More Football Predictions