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Australia - Victoria NPL 2 logo Australia flag Australia - Victoria NPL 2 Regular Season - 12 Monday, May 11, 2026 10:30
M. Victory B logo M. Victory B PPG 2.20
4-0 MISS
Manningham Utd logo Manningham Utd PPG 1.00
Over3.5· +33.9% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 44.9%
Odds: 1.95 EV: -12.4%
Draw 22.4%
Odds: 3.40 EV: -14.3%
Away 32.7%
Odds: 3.00 EV: -1.9%
Model lean: Over 2.5
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 69.8% Odds: 1.44 +0.5%
Over 3.5 64.7% Odds: 2.07 +33.9%
BTTS 66.7% Odds: 1.40 -6.6%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-2
2nd 2-1
3rd 1-1
4th 1-2
5th 3-2

Expected Goals (xG)

M. Victory B
2.39
Manningham Utd
2.05

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 +0.5% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5.
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+33.9%)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.20) vs P(Home)=44.9%

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