Today / Ukraine - U19 League / Veres Rivne U19 vs Kryvbas KR U19

Veres Rivne U19 vs Kryvbas KR U19 Prediction— Ukraine - U19 League

Regular Season - 28 ·Monday, May 11, 2026, 09:00

Veres Rivne U19 logo
Veres Rivne U19
PPG 2.15 · HOME
3 – 1
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5
Kryvbas KR U19 logo
Kryvbas KR U19
PPG 0.92 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.6%0-12.5%0-21.2%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-07.0%1-16.8%1-23.3%1-31.1%1-4+0.3%2 2-09.4%2-19.1%2-24.4%2-31.4%2-4+0.4%3 3-08.3%3-18.1%3-23.9%3-31.3%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-010.6%4+-110.3%4+-25.0%4+-31.6%4+-4+0.5%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 60.5%
Draw 20.9%
Away win 18.6%
Over 2.5 63.3%
Over 3.5 49.3%
BTTS 57.8%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 39 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%
O2.5 69%
BTTS 64%
Score Hit 41%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 60%CONFIDENCE
✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE
xG (home)2.7 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob57.8%

H 60% / xG 2.7-1.0 / O2.5 63% / BTTS 58%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 9.4%
#2 2–1 9.1%
#3 3–0 8.3%
#4 3–1 8.1%
#5 1–1 6.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Veres Rivne U192.7
Kryvbas KR U191.0

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.3% · O3.5 PROB 49.3%

Form & verdict PPG

VERES RIVNE U19 · PPG 2.15

KRYVBAS KR U19 · PPG 0.92

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.15) vs P(Home)=60.5%

Win probability 1X2

Veres Rivne U19 (H) 60.5%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 20.9%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Kryvbas KR U19 (A) 18.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Veres Rivne U19 face Kryvbas KR U19 in Ukraine - U19 League on Monday, May 11, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Veres Rivne U19 a 61% chance, the draw 21% and Kryvbas KR U19 19%, so Veres Rivne U19 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.7 for Veres Rivne U19 and 1.0 for Kryvbas KR U19 (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Veres Rivne U19 are averaging 2.15 points per game versus 0.92 for Kryvbas KR U19. This match finished 3-1.

PredictVantage

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