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Oleksandria U19 vs Zorya U19 Prediction— Ukraine - U19 League

Regular Season - 28 ·Monday, May 11, 2026, 09:00

Oleksandria U19

PPG 0.85 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Zorya U19

PPG 1.38 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.38) vs Home POOR (0.85)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.3%0-112.0%0-27.0%0-32.7%0-4+1.0%1 1-011.4%1-113.3%1-27.8%1-33.0%1-4+1.1%2 2-06.3%2-17.3%2-24.3%2-31.7%2-4+0.6%3 3-02.3%3-12.7%3-21.6%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-10.9%4+-20.6%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.8% — — —

Draw 29.6% — — —

Away win 34.6% — — —

Over 2.5 45.9% — — —

Over 3.5 19.5% — — —

BTTS 52.1% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 39 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 41%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 33%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob52.1%

D 30% / xG 1.1-1.2 / U2.5 46% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.3%

#2 0–0 10.3%

#3 0–1✓ 12.0%

#4 1–0 11.4%

#5 1–2 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Oleksandria U191.1

Zorya U191.2

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.9% · O3.5 PROB 19.5%

Form & verdict PPG

OLEKSANDRIA U19 · PPG 0.85

ZORYA U19 · PPG 1.38

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.38) vs Home POOR (0.85)

Win probability 1X2

Oleksandria U19 (H) 35.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 29.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Zorya U19 (A) 34.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Oleksandria U19 face Zorya U19 in Ukraine - U19 League on Monday, May 11, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Oleksandria U19 a 36% chance, the draw 30% and Zorya U19 35%, so Oleksandria U19 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Oleksandria U19 and 1.2 for Zorya U19 (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Oleksandria U19 are averaging 0.85 points per game versus 1.38 for Zorya U19. This match finished 0-1.

Oleksandria U19 vs Zorya U19 Prediction— Ukraine - U19 League

Match Preview & Prediction

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