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Zalaegerszegi vs Kazincbarcika Prediction— Hungary - NB I

Hungary - NB I logo Hungary flag Hungary - NB I Regular Season - 30 ZTE-Aréna· Zalaegerszeg Saturday, April 18, 2026 12:15
Zalaegerszegi logo Zalaegerszegi PPG 1.67
4-0 MISS
Kazincbarcika logo Kazincbarcika PPG 0.71
Home· +3.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
66% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Zalaegerszegi face Kazincbarcika in Hungary - NB I on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Zalaegerszegi a 74% chance, the draw 16% and Kazincbarcika 10%, so Zalaegerszegi are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for Zalaegerszegi and 0.8 for Kazincbarcika (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Zalaegerszegi are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 0.71 for Kazincbarcika. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +3.8%. This match finished 4-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 73.6%
Odds: 1.41 EV: +3.8%
Draw 16.4%
Odds: 3.90 EV: -36.0%
Away 10.0%
Odds: 8.00 EV: -20.0%
Model lean: Home
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 60.9% Odds: 1.67 +1.7%
Over 3.5 38.6% Odds: 2.60 +0.4%
BTTS 48.3% Odds: 1.80 -13.1%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0
2nd 1-0
3rd 3-0
4th 2-1
5th 1-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Zalaegerszegi
2.39
Kazincbarcika
0.76

Model Suggestion

Home +3.8% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
66%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in GOOD form (1.67), Away POOR (0.71) - Strong consensus

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