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Lithuania - 1 Lyga logo Lithuania flag Lithuania - 1 Lyga Regular Season - 9 Raudondvario stadionas· Raudondvario Monday, May 11, 2026 15:00
Hegelmann B logo Hegelmann B PPG 1.00
1-2 HIT CS3
TransINVEST Vil logo TransINVEST Vil PPG 1.00
Over3.5· -2.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 46.1%
Odds: 2.10 EV: -3.2%
Draw 26.1%
Odds: 3.60 EV: -3.6%
Away 27.8%
Odds: 2.80 EV: -13.3%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 60.1% Odds: 1.57 -5.6%
Over 3.5 42.4% Odds: 2.30 -2.5%
BTTS 59.5% Odds: 1.45 -13.7%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 1-2
4th 2-2
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Hegelmann B
1.83
TransINVEST Vil
1.49

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -5.6% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -5.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet.

League Track Record

Based on 28 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 61%
O2.5/Under 50%
BTTS/No 54%
Score Hit 54%
ROI -53.9%
Bet Hit 27% (11 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away AVERAGE (1.00)

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