Today / Epitsentr U19 vs Polissya U19

Epitsentr U19 vs Polissya U19 Prediction

Monday, May 11, 2026

Epitsentr U19

PPG 0.38 · HOME

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

Polissya U19

PPG 1.92 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.92) vs Home POOR (0.38)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.8%0-115.1%0-214.7%0-39.5%0-4+7.2%1 1-04.8%1-19.2%1-29.0%1-35.8%1-4+4.4%2 2-01.5%2-12.8%2-22.7%2-31.8%2-4+1.3%3 3-00.3%3-10.6%3-20.6%3-30.4%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.1%4+-20.1%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 12.1% — — —

Draw 24.6% — — —

Away win 63.3% — — —

Over 2.5 49.0% — — —

Over 3.5 25.4% — — —

BTTS 48.1% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 3 36%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)0.6 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob48.1%

A 63% / xG 0.6-1.9 / O2.5 49% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2✓ 14.7%

#2 0–1 15.1%

#3 1–1 9.2%

#4 0–3 9.5%

#5 0–0 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Epitsentr U190.6

Polissya U191.9

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 49.0% · O3.5 PROB 25.4%

Form & verdict PPG

EPITSENTR U19 · PPG 0.38

POLISSYA U19 · PPG 1.92

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.92) vs Home POOR (0.38)

Win probability 1X2

Epitsentr U19 (H) 12.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Polissya U19 (A) 63.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Epitsentr U19 face Polissya U19 on Monday, May 11, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Epitsentr U19 a 12% chance, the draw 25% and Polissya U19 63%, so Polissya U19 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.6 for Epitsentr U19 and 1.9 for Polissya U19 (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Epitsentr U19 are averaging 0.38 points per game versus 1.92 for Polissya U19. This match finished 0-2.

Epitsentr U19 vs Polissya U19 Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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