Today / Podillya K. vs Chernihiv

Podillya K. vs Chernihiv Prediction

Regular Season - 24 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 10:30

Podillya K.

PPG 0.45 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

Chernihiv

PPG 0.73 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.1%0-112.4%0-26.3%0-32.1%0-4+0.7%1 1-013.2%1-113.5%1-26.9%1-32.3%1-4+0.7%2 2-07.2%2-17.3%2-23.7%2-31.3%2-4+0.4%3 3-02.6%3-12.7%3-21.4%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-10.9%4+-20.5%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.9% — — —

Draw 29.9% — — —

Away win 33.3% — — —

Over 2.5 35.3% — — —

Over 3.5 16.3% — — —

BTTS 42.4% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 51%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob42.4%

D 30% / xG 1.1-1.0 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 42%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.5%

#2 1–0 13.2%

#3 0–1 12.4%

#4 0–0✓ 12.1%

#5 2–1 7.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Podillya K.1.1

Chernihiv1.0

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.3% · O3.5 PROB 16.3%

Form & verdict PPG

PODILLYA K. · PPG 0.45

CHERNIHIV · PPG 0.73

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.45), Away POOR (0.73)

Win probability 1X2

Podillya K. (H) 36.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 29.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Chernihiv (A) 33.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Podillya K. face Chernihiv on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Podillya K. a 37% chance, the draw 30% and Chernihiv 33%, so Podillya K. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Podillya K. and 1.0 for Chernihiv (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 42% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Podillya K. are averaging 0.45 points per game versus 0.73 for Chernihiv. This match finished 0-0.

Podillya K. vs Chernihiv Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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