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Ecuador - Liga Pro
Regular Season - 13
Estadio George Capwell· Guayaquil
Sunday, May 10, 2026
20:30
Emelec
PPG 1.67
1-1
HIT MostLikelyScore
Libertad
PPG 0.33
Away· +55.8%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
35.2%
Odds: 1.80
EV: -36.6%
Draw
29.4%
Odds: 3.45
EV: +0.9%
Away
35.4%
Odds: 4.40
EV: +55.8%
Result: Draw ✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
40.2%
Odds: 2.20
-11.6%
Over 3.5
14.3%
Odds: 4.20
-24.0%
BTTS
48.2%
Odds: 2.00
-3.6%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔
BTTS NO → YES ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-1
✔
2nd
0-0
✘
3rd
0-1
✘
4th
1-0
✘
5th
0-2
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Emelec
0.99
Libertad
1.01
Model Suggestion
No Bet
NO VALUE BET
Model lean:
No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME
Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.67) vs P(Home)=35.2%