Today / Adanaspor vs Arnavutkoy B.

Adanaspor vs Arnavutkoy B. Prediction

Kırmızı - 33 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 12:00

Adanaspor

PPG 0.25 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

Arnavutkoy B.

PPG 1.19 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.19) vs Home POOR (0.25)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.5%0-15.8%0-211.0%0-313.9%0-4+35.4%1 1-00.6%1-12.3%1-24.3%1-35.4%1-4+13.9%2 2-00.1%2-10.4%2-20.8%2-31.1%2-4+2.7%3 3-00.0%3-10.1%3-20.1%3-30.1%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.0%4+-20.0%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 1.4% — — —

Draw 4.8% — — —

Away win 93.8% — — —

Over 2.5 78.7% — — —

Over 3.5 60.1% — — —

BTTS 31.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 4 79%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)0.4 xG (away)3.8 BTTS prob31.6%

A 94% / xG 0.4-3.8 / O2.5 79% / NoBTTS 32%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–3 13.9%

#2 0–4 13.1%

#3 0–2 11.0%

#4 0–5 10.0%

#5 0–1✓ 5.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Adanaspor0.4

Arnavutkoy B.3.8

COMBINED 4.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 78.7% · O3.5 PROB 60.1%

Form & verdict PPG

ADANASPOR · PPG 0.25

ARNAVUTKOY B. · PPG 1.19

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.19) vs Home POOR (0.25)

Win probability 1X2

Adanaspor (H) 1.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 4.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Arnavutkoy B. (A) 93.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Adanaspor face Arnavutkoy B. on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Adanaspor a 1% chance, the draw 5% and Arnavutkoy B. 94%, so Arnavutkoy B. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.4 for Adanaspor and 3.8 for Arnavutkoy B. (4.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-3. There is a 79% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 32% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Adanaspor are averaging 0.25 points per game versus 1.19 for Arnavutkoy B.. This match finished 0-1.

Adanaspor vs Arnavutkoy B. Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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