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Thailand - Thai League 1 logo Thailand flag Thailand - Thai League 1 Regular Season - 20 Uthai Thani Provincial Stadium· Uthai Thani Saturday, April 18, 2026 12:00
Uthai Thani logo Uthai Thani PPG 1.33
4-1 MISS
Rayong logo Rayong PPG 0.77
Home· +16.4% ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 58.2%
Odds: 2.00 EV: +16.4%
Draw 20.0%
Odds: 3.20 EV: -36.0%
Away 21.8%
Odds: 3.25 EV: -29.1%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 68.7% Odds: —
Over 3.5 47.2% Odds: —
BTTS 65.2% Odds: 1.65 +7.6%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-1
2nd 1-1
3rd 2-0
4th 3-1
5th 1-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Uthai Thani
2.23
Rayong
1.31

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (—), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.33) > Away POOR (0.77)

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