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Rasi Salai United vs Port FC Prediction— Thailand - Thai League 1

Matchday 1 ·Saturday, September 5, 2026, 12:00

Rasi Salai United

PPG 1.50 · HOME

UPCOMING

Port FC

PPG 1.52 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS 58% chance

Model probability 54.8% vs bookmaker-implied 59.9%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.7%0-17.4%0-24.1%0-31.5%0-4+0.5%1 1-010.7%1-111.8%1-26.5%1-32.4%1-4+0.8%2 2-08.5%2-19.5%2-25.2%2-31.9%2-4+0.7%3 3-04.6%3-15.0%3-22.8%3-31.0%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-02.6%4+-12.9%4+-21.6%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.3% 20.8% 4.80 +127.0%

Draw 24.7% 28.6% 3.50 -8.1%

Away win 28.0% 62.5% 1.60 -33.1%

Over 2.5 53.8% 57.8% 1.73 -6.9%

Over 3.5 31.7% 36.4% 2.75 -12.8%

BTTS 54.8% 59.9% 1.67 -8.5%

Home O1.5 47.8% 30.8% 3.25 +55.4%

Away O1.5 33.2% 57.8% 1.73 -42.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 34 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 59%

O2.5 44%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 53%

ROI -54.6%

Bet Hit 29%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 34%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob54.8%

H 47% / xG 1.6-1.1 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.8%

#2 2–1 9.5%

#3 1–0 10.7%

#4 2–0 8.5%

#5 1–2 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Rasi Salai United1.6

Port FC1.1

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.8% · O3.5 PROB 31.7%

Form & verdict PPG

RASI SALAI UNITED · PPG 1.50

PORT FC · PPG 1.52

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

Chance this pick lands

58%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.49 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Rasi Salai United (H) 47.3%

ODDS 4.80 · IMPLIED 20.8% EV +127.0%

Draw 24.7%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -8.1%

Port FC (A) 28.0%

ODDS 1.60 · IMPLIED 62.5% EV -33.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Rasi Salai United face Port FC in Thailand - Thai League 1 on Saturday, September 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Rasi Salai United a 47% chance, the draw 25% and Port FC 28%, so Rasi Salai United are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Rasi Salai United and 1.1 for Port FC (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Rasi Salai United are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.52 for Port FC. The best value bet our model finds is RES_H/O15, with an expected value of +153.4%.

Rasi Salai United vs Port FC Prediction— Thailand - Thai League 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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