Today / Union Touarga vs Maghreb de Fes

Union Touarga vs Maghreb de Fes Prediction

Sunday, May 10, 2026

Union Touarga

PPG 0.60 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

Maghreb de Fes

PPG 1.80 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.80) vs Home POOR (0.60)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.0%0-118.2%0-213.9%0-37.1%0-4+3.8%1 1-07.2%1-110.9%1-28.3%1-34.2%1-4+2.3%2 2-02.2%2-13.3%2-22.5%2-31.3%2-4+0.7%3 3-00.4%3-10.7%3-20.5%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.1%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 13.3% — — —

Draw 26.9% — — —

Away win 59.8% — — —

Over 2.5 45.8% — — —

Over 3.5 16.6% — — —

BTTS 48.0% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 40%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)0.6 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob48.0%

A 60% / xG 0.6-1.5 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1✓ 18.2%

#2 0–2 13.9%

#3 0–0 12.0%

#4 1–1 10.9%

#5 1–2 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Union Touarga0.6

Maghreb de Fes1.5

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.8% · O3.5 PROB 16.6%

Form & verdict PPG

UNION TOUARGA · PPG 0.60

MAGHREB DE FES · PPG 1.80

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.80) vs Home POOR (0.60)

Win probability 1X2

Union Touarga (H) 13.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Maghreb de Fes (A) 59.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Union Touarga face Maghreb de Fes on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Union Touarga a 13% chance, the draw 27% and Maghreb de Fes 60%, so Maghreb de Fes are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.6 for Union Touarga and 1.5 for Maghreb de Fes (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Union Touarga are averaging 0.60 points per game versus 1.80 for Maghreb de Fes. This match finished 0-1.

Union Touarga vs Maghreb de Fes Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

More Football Predictions