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Robina City vs North Star Prediction— Australia - Queensland Premier League

Regular Season - 10 ·Sunday, May 10, 2026, 04:30

Robina City

PPG 1.50 · HOME

3 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

North Star

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.50) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.7%0-11.8%0-20.9%0-30.3%0-4+0.1%1 1-05.2%1-15.4%1-22.8%1-31.0%1-4+0.3%2 2-07.8%2-18.2%2-24.3%2-31.5%2-4+0.5%3 3-07.9%3-18.2%3-24.3%3-31.5%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-012.6%4+-113.1%4+-26.9%4+-32.4%4+-4+0.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 63.7% — — —

Draw 21.4% — — —

Away win 14.9% — — —

Over 2.5 61.7% — — —

Over 3.5 58.0% — — —

BTTS 58.8% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 33 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 36%

ROI -0.9%

Bet Hit 70%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 67%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)3.0 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob58.8%

H 64% / xG 3.0-1.0 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–1✓ 8.2%

#2 2–1 8.2%

#3 3–0 7.9%

#4 2–0 7.8%

#5 1–1 5.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Robina City3.0

North Star1.0

COMBINED 4.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.7% · O3.5 PROB 58.0%

Form & verdict PPG

ROBINA CITY · PPG 1.50

NORTH STAR · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.50) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Robina City (H) 63.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

North Star (A) 14.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Robina City face North Star in Australia - Queensland Premier League on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Robina City a 64% chance, the draw 21% and North Star 15%, so Robina City are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.0 for Robina City and 1.0 for North Star (4.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Robina City are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.00 for North Star. This match finished 3-1.

Robina City vs North Star Prediction— Australia - Queensland Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

More Australia - Queensland Premier League Predictions