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Australia - New South Wales NPL
Regular Season - 14
Landen Stadium· Sydney
Sunday, May 10, 2026
05:00
Blacktown City
PPG 0.67
2-1
HIT CS3
S George Saints
PPG 1.00
Draw· -2.1%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value
45% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
37.8%
Odds: 2.35
EV: -11.2%
Draw
27.2%
Odds: 3.55
EV: -2.1%
Away
35.1%
Odds: 2.55
EV: -10.5%
Model lean:
BTTS
Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
48.3%
Odds: 1.53
-26.1%
Over 3.5
25.7%
Odds: 2.30
-24.5%
BTTS
54.6%
Odds: 1.42
-22.5%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘
BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-1
✘
2nd
0-0
✘
3rd
2-1
✔
4th
1-0
✘
5th
1-2
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Blacktown City
1.35
S George Saints
1.22
Model Suggestion
BTTS
-22.5%
NO VALUE BET
No value bet:
model leans BTTS, but EV is -22.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value
45%
DANGER
Home weakness: POOR (0.67) vs Away AVERAGE (1.00)