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Australia - New South Wales NPL logo Australia flag Australia - New South Wales NPL Regular Season - 14 Landen Stadium· Sydney Sunday, May 10, 2026 05:00
Blacktown City logo Blacktown City PPG 0.67
2-1 HIT CS3
S George Saints logo S George Saints PPG 1.00
Draw· -2.1% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value
45% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 37.8%
Odds: 2.35 EV: -11.2%
Draw 27.2%
Odds: 3.55 EV: -2.1%
Away 35.1%
Odds: 2.55 EV: -10.5%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 48.3% Odds: 1.53 -26.1%
Over 3.5 25.7% Odds: 2.30 -24.5%
BTTS 54.6% Odds: 1.42 -22.5%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 2-1
4th 1-0
5th 1-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Blacktown City
1.35
S George Saints
1.22

Model Suggestion

BTTS -22.5% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -22.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value
45%
DANGER

Home weakness: POOR (0.67) vs Away AVERAGE (1.00)

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