Today / Meknes vs Berkane

Meknes vs Berkane Prediction

Sunday, May 10, 2026

Meknes
PPG 2.00 · HOME
0 – 1
FULL TIME
Berkane
PPG 1.44 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-020.5%0-117.9%0-27.8%0-32.3%0-4+0.6%1 1-014.6%1-112.7%1-25.6%1-31.6%1-4+0.4%2 2-05.2%2-14.5%2-22.0%2-30.6%2-4+0.2%3 3-01.2%3-11.1%3-20.5%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.2%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 26.9%
Draw 36.7%
Away win 36.4%
Over 2.5 35.1%
Over 3.5 7.6%
BTTS 45.9%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 57%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 0-1
xG (home)0.7 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob45.9%

D 37% / xG 0.7-0.9 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 20.5%
#2 0–1 17.9%
#3 1–1 12.7%
#4 1–0 14.6%
#5 0–2 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Meknes0.7
Berkane0.9

COMBINED 1.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.1% · O3.5 PROB 7.6%

Form & verdict PPG

MEKNES · PPG 2.00

BERKANE · PPG 1.44

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.00) > Away AVERAGE (1.44)

Win probability 1X2

Meknes (H) 26.9%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 36.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Berkane (A) 36.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Meknes face Berkane on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Meknes a 27% chance, the draw 37% and Berkane 36%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 0.7 for Meknes and 0.9 for Berkane (1.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Meknes are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.44 for Berkane. This match finished 0-1.

PredictVantage

Free daily football predictions across 240+ leagues. A Poisson-based model analyses team form, attack and defence strength, and live bookmaker odds to surface value bets — updated every day, graded every night.

18+ only. PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Match dates and kick-off times come from third-party data and may change — confirm with official sources before betting. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. BeGambleAware.org