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Montenegro - First League logo Montenegro flag Montenegro - First League Regular Season - 30 Stadion Topolica· Bar Saturday, April 18, 2026 13:00
Mornar Bar logo Mornar Bar PPG 2.21
1-0 HIT CS2
Decic logo Decic PPG 1.36
Home· +36.2% 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
98% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 73.6%
Odds: 1.85 EV: +36.2%
Draw 16.8%
Odds: 2.90 EV: -51.3%
Away 9.6%
Odds: 4.00 EV: -61.6%
Model lean: Home
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 57.6% Odds: —
Over 3.5 35.1% Odds: —
BTTS 45.0% Odds: 2.05 -7.8%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0
2nd 1-0
3rd 3-0
4th 2-1
5th 1-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Mornar Bar
2.30
Decic
0.69

Model Suggestion

Home +36.2% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.

Verdict & Form

🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
98%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.21), Away AVERAGE (1.36) - Strong consensus

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