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Serbia - Super Liga
Relegation Group - 35
Sunday, May 10, 2026
16:30
Radnicki Nis
PPG 1.69
1-0
HIT CS2
Mladost Lucani
PPG 0.88
Away· +10.2%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
49.0%
Odds: 1.91
EV: -6.4%
Draw
26.1%
Odds: 2.84
EV: -15.5%
Away
24.9%
Odds: 4.70
EV: +10.2%
Model lean:
BTTS
Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
46.5%
Odds: 2.10
-2.4%
Over 3.5
21.4%
Odds: 3.60
-13.8%
BTTS
51.6%
Odds: 1.80
-7.1%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔
BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-1
✘
2nd
1-0
✔
3rd
0-0
✘
4th
2-0
✘
5th
2-1
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Radnicki Nis
1.51
Mladost Lucani
0.85
Model Suggestion
BTTS
-7.1%
NO VALUE BET
No value bet:
model leans BTTS, but EV is -7.1% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV:
Away (+10.2%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME
Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.69) vs P(Home)=49.0%