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IMT N. Beograd vs Radnicki 1923 Prediction— Serbia - Super Liga

Relegation Group · Matchday 35 ·Sunday, May 10, 2026, 16:30

IMT N. Beograd

PPG 1.53 · HOME

LAST 5

WDDWD

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Radnicki 1923

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

LAST 5

WDDDD

// Model verdict

BTTS 56% chance

Model probability 52.1% vs bookmaker-implied 57.8%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.9%0-111.9%0-26.4%0-32.3%0-4+0.8%1 1-012.3%1-113.4%1-27.3%1-32.6%1-4+0.9%2 2-06.9%2-17.5%2-24.1%2-31.5%2-4+0.5%3 3-02.6%3-12.8%3-21.5%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-11.0%4+-20.6%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.3% 33.8% 2.96 +7.4%

Draw 28.2% 29.0% 3.45 -1.6%

Away win 35.5% 46.3% 2.16 -23.3%

Over 2.5 45.8% 51.8% 1.93 -11.6%

Over 3.5 18.4% 29.4% 3.40 -22.5%

BTTS 52.1% 57.8% 1.73 -9.9%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 60 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 45%

O2.5 47%

BTTS 42%

Score Hit 47%

ROI -37.4%

Bet Hit 31%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 31%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob52.1%

D 28% / xG 1.1-1.1 / U2.5 46% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.4%

#2 0–0✓ 10.9%

#3 1–0 12.3%

#4 0–1 11.9%

#5 2–1 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

IMT N. Beograd1.1

Radnicki 19231.1

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.8% · O3.5 PROB 18.4%

Form & verdict PPG

IMT N. BEOGRAD · PPG 1.53

RADNICKI 1923 · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

Chance this pick lands

56%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.53) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

IMT N. Beograd (H) 36.3%

ODDS 2.96 · IMPLIED 33.8% EV +7.4%

Draw 28.2%

ODDS 3.45 · IMPLIED 29.0% EV -1.6%

Radnicki 1923 (A) 35.5%

ODDS 2.16 · IMPLIED 46.3% EV -23.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

IMT N. Beograd face Radnicki 1923 in Serbia - Super Liga on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives IMT N. Beograd a 36% chance, the draw 28% and Radnicki 1923 36%, so IMT N. Beograd are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for IMT N. Beograd and 1.1 for Radnicki 1923 (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, IMT N. Beograd are averaging 1.53 points per game versus 1.00 for Radnicki 1923. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +7.4%. This match finished 0-0.

IMT N. Beograd vs Radnicki 1923 Prediction— Serbia - Super Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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