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Jedinstvo vs Mladost DG Prediction— Montenegro - First League

Regular Season - 30 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 12:00

Jedinstvo

PPG 0.86 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

Mladost DG

PPG 0.86 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.9%0-19.7%0-25.2%0-31.9%0-4+0.6%1 1-011.9%1-112.9%1-27.0%1-32.5%1-4+0.9%2 2-08.0%2-18.6%2-24.6%2-31.7%2-4+0.6%3 3-03.5%3-13.8%3-22.1%3-30.7%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-01.6%4+-11.7%4+-20.9%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 42.5% 47.6% 2.10 -10.8%

Draw 27.3% 35.7% 2.80 -23.6%

Away win 30.2% 30.3% 3.30 -0.3%

Over 2.5 43.5% — — —

Over 3.5 22.5% — — —

BTTS 48.7% 52.4% 1.91 -7.0%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 34 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 47%

ROI -42.3%

Bet Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 26%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob48.7%

H 42% / xG 1.3-1.1 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.9%

#2 1–0 11.9%

#3 0–1 9.7%

#4 0–0 8.9%

#5 2–1✓ 8.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Jedinstvo1.3

Mladost DG1.1

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 43.5% · O3.5 PROB 22.5%

Form & verdict PPG

JEDINSTVO · PPG 0.86

MLADOST DG · PPG 0.86

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.86), Away POOR (0.86)

Win probability 1X2

Jedinstvo (H) 42.5%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV -10.8%

Draw 27.3%

ODDS 2.80 · IMPLIED 35.7% EV -23.6%

Mladost DG (A) 30.2%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -0.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Jedinstvo face Mladost DG in Montenegro - First League on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Jedinstvo a 43% chance, the draw 27% and Mladost DG 30%, so Jedinstvo are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Jedinstvo and 1.1 for Mladost DG (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Jedinstvo are averaging 0.86 points per game versus 0.86 for Mladost DG. This match finished 2-1.

Jedinstvo vs Mladost DG Prediction— Montenegro - First League

Match Preview & Prediction

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