Today / Skala vs AB Argir

Skala vs AB Argir Prediction

Sunday, May 10, 2026

Skala

PPG 0.50 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

AB Argir

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home weakness: POOR (0.50) vs Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.9%0-111.6%0-27.5%0-33.2%0-4+1.4%1 1-010.0%1-113.0%1-28.4%1-33.6%1-4+1.5%2 2-05.6%2-17.3%2-24.7%2-32.0%2-4+0.9%3 3-02.1%3-12.7%3-21.8%3-30.8%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-11.0%4+-20.6%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.9% — — —

Draw 27.8% — — —

Away win 36.2% — — —

Over 2.5 46.5% — — —

Over 3.5 22.4% — — —

BTTS 52.3% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 22%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob52.3%

A 36% / xG 1.1-1.3 / U2.5 46% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.0%

#2 0–0 8.9%

#3 0–1 11.6%

#4 1–2 8.4%

#5 1–0✓ 10.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Skala1.1

AB Argir1.3

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.5% · O3.5 PROB 22.4%

Form & verdict PPG

SKALA · PPG 0.50

AB ARGIR · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: POOR (0.50) vs Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Skala (H) 35.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

AB Argir (A) 36.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Skala face AB Argir on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Skala a 36% chance, the draw 28% and AB Argir 36%, so AB Argir are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Skala and 1.3 for AB Argir (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Skala are averaging 0.50 points per game versus 1.00 for AB Argir. This match finished 1-0.

Skala vs AB Argir Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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