Montenegro - First LeagueRegular Season - 33Stadion Topolica· BarSunday, May 10, 202616:00
Mornar BarPPG 2.31
0-0HIT CS4
BokeljPPG 1.00
Away· +170.5%⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home51.0%
Odds: 1.17EV: -40.3%
Draw26.4%
Odds: 5.50EV: +27.1%
Away22.6%
Odds: 17.00EV: +170.5%
Model lean: HomeNot tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw
✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.546.2%Odds: 2.00-7.6%
Over 3.520.0%Odds: 3.20-21.6%
BTTS48.2%Odds: 3.50+68.7%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔BTTS NO → NO ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st1-0✘
2nd2-0✘
3rd1-1✘
4th0-0✔
5th2-1✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Mornar Bar
1.62
Bokelj
0.68
Model Suggestion
Home-40.3%NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -40.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet. Highest raw EV: Away (+170.5%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.31) vs P(Home)=51.0%