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Montenegro - First League logo Montenegro flag Montenegro - First League Regular Season - 33 Stadion Topolica· Bar Sunday, May 10, 2026 16:00
Mornar Bar logo Mornar Bar PPG 2.31
0-0 HIT CS4
Bokelj logo Bokelj PPG 1.00
Away· +170.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 51.0%
Odds: 1.17 EV: -40.3%
Draw 26.4%
Odds: 5.50 EV: +27.1%
Away 22.6%
Odds: 17.00 EV: +170.5%
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.2% Odds: 2.00 -7.6%
Over 3.5 20.0% Odds: 3.20 -21.6%
BTTS 48.2% Odds: 3.50 +68.7%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0
2nd 2-0
3rd 1-1
4th 0-0
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Mornar Bar
1.62
Bokelj
0.68

Model Suggestion

Home -40.3% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -40.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+170.5%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.31) vs P(Home)=51.0%

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