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Jedinstvo vs Buducnost Prediction— Montenegro - First League

Regular Season - 33 ·Sunday, May 10, 2026, 16:00

Jedinstvo logo
Jedinstvo
PPG 1.00 · HOME
0 – 0
FULL TIME
Buducnost logo
Buducnost
PPG 1.06 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-017.5%0-117.4%0-28.7%0-32.9%0-4+0.9%1 1-013.1%1-113.0%1-26.5%1-32.1%1-4+0.7%2 2-04.9%2-14.9%2-22.4%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-01.2%3-11.2%3-20.6%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.3%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 27.3% 29.4% 3.40 -4.3%
Draw 35.6% 30.8% 3.25 +15.7%
Away win 37.0% 51.3% 1.95 -27.9%
Over 2.5 35.1% 46.5% 2.15 -24.5%
Over 3.5 9.9% 25.9% 3.86 -37.1%
BTTS 45.9% 53.5% 1.87 -14.2%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 34 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%
O2.5 56%
BTTS 50%
Score Hit 47%
ROI -42.3%
Bet Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 57%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 0-0
xG (home)0.7 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob45.9%

D 36% / xG 0.7-1.0 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 17.5%
#2 0–1 17.4%
#3 1–1 13.0%
#4 1–0 13.1%
#5 0–2 8.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Jedinstvo0.7
Buducnost1.0

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.1% · O3.5 PROB 9.9%

Form & verdict PPG

JEDINSTVO · PPG 1.00

BUDUCNOST · PPG 1.06

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away AVERAGE (1.06)

Win probability 1X2

Jedinstvo (H) 27.3%
ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -4.3%
Draw 35.6%
ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV +15.7%
Buducnost (A) 37.0%
ODDS 1.95 · IMPLIED 51.3% EV -27.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Jedinstvo face Buducnost in Montenegro - First League on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Jedinstvo a 27% chance, the draw 36% and Buducnost 37%, so Buducnost are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Jedinstvo and 1.0 for Buducnost (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Jedinstvo are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.06 for Buducnost. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +15.7%. This match finished 0-0.

PredictVantage

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