Today / Termalica vs Legia Warsaw

Termalica vs Legia Warsaw Prediction

Sunday, May 10, 2026

Termalica

PPG 0.87 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Legia Warsaw

PPG 0.87 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.87), Away POOR (0.87)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.1%0-110.3%0-27.4%0-33.6%0-4+1.8%1 1-08.5%1-112.3%1-28.9%1-34.3%1-4+2.1%2 2-05.1%2-17.4%2-25.3%2-32.6%2-4+1.3%3 3-02.0%3-12.9%3-22.1%3-31.0%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-11.1%4+-20.8%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 33.8% — — —

Draw 25.9% — — —

Away win 40.3% — — —

Over 2.5 52.8% — — —

Over 3.5 27.3% — — —

BTTS 54.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 26%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob54.6%

A 40% / xG 1.2-1.4 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.3%

#2 0–0 7.1%

#3 1–2 8.9%

#4 0–1✓ 10.3%

#5 0–2 7.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Termalica1.2

Legia Warsaw1.4

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.8% · O3.5 PROB 27.3%

Form & verdict PPG

TERMALICA · PPG 0.87

LEGIA WARSAW · PPG 0.87

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.87), Away POOR (0.87)

Win probability 1X2

Termalica (H) 33.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Legia Warsaw (A) 40.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Termalica face Legia Warsaw on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Termalica a 34% chance, the draw 26% and Legia Warsaw 40%, so Legia Warsaw are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Termalica and 1.4 for Legia Warsaw (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Termalica are averaging 0.87 points per game versus 0.87 for Legia Warsaw. This match finished 0-1.

Termalica vs Legia Warsaw Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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