Today / Celtic W vs Hearts W

Celtic W vs Hearts W Prediction

Sunday, May 10, 2026

Celtic W

PPG 1.75 · HOME

2 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Hearts W

PPG 2.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.2%0-13.0%0-23.7%0-33.0%0-4+3.2%1 1-02.4%1-15.9%1-27.2%1-35.8%1-4+6.3%2 2-02.4%2-15.8%2-27.0%2-35.7%2-4+6.1%3 3-01.6%3-13.8%3-24.6%3-33.7%3-4+4.0%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-12.9%4+-23.5%4+-32.9%4+-4+3.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 34.4% — — —

Draw 23.4% — — —

Away win 42.2% — — —

Over 2.5 69.8% — — —

Over 3.5 63.9% — — —

BTTS 66.7% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 3 54%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)2.4 BTTS prob66.7%

A 42% / xG 2.0-2.4 / O2.5 70% / BTTS 67%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 7.2%

#2 2–2 7.0%

#3 1–1 5.9%

#4 1–3 5.8%

#5 2–1 5.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Celtic W2.0

Hearts W2.4

COMBINED 4.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 69.8% · O3.5 PROB 63.9%

Form & verdict PPG

CELTIC W · PPG 1.75

HEARTS W · PPG 2.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.33) vs Home GOOD (1.75)

Win probability 1X2

Celtic W (H) 34.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Hearts W (A) 42.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Celtic W face Hearts W on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Celtic W a 34% chance, the draw 23% and Hearts W 42%, so Hearts W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Celtic W and 2.4 for Hearts W (4.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 70% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 67% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Celtic W are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 2.33 for Hearts W. This match finished 2-3.

Celtic W vs Hearts W Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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