Today / Mezokovesd vs Honved

Mezokovesd vs Honved Prediction

Regular Season - 26 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 12:00

Mezokovesd

PPG 1.82 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

Honved

PPG 1.83 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.3%0-114.8%0-28.2%0-33.1%0-4+1.1%1 1-012.0%1-113.4%1-27.5%1-32.8%1-4+1.0%2 2-05.4%2-16.1%2-23.4%2-31.3%2-4+0.4%3 3-01.6%3-11.8%3-21.0%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.5%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 29.3% — — —

Draw 30.5% — — —

Away win 40.3% — — —

Over 2.5 32.8% — — —

Over 3.5 14.6% — — —

BTTS 40.0% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 45%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob40.0%

A 40% / xG 0.9-1.1 / U2.5 33% / NoBTTS 40%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 14.8%

#2 1–1 13.4%

#3 0–0 13.3%

#4 1–0 12.0%

#5 0–2 8.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Mezokovesd0.9

Honved1.1

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 32.8% · O3.5 PROB 14.6%

Form & verdict PPG

MEZOKOVESD · PPG 1.82

HONVED · PPG 1.83

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.82), Away GOOD (1.83)

Win probability 1X2

Mezokovesd (H) 29.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 30.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Honved (A) 40.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Mezokovesd face Honved on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Mezokovesd a 29% chance, the draw 31% and Honved 40%, so Honved are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Mezokovesd and 1.1 for Honved (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 33% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 40% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Mezokovesd are averaging 1.82 points per game versus 1.83 for Honved. This match finished 1-2.

Mezokovesd vs Honved Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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