Today / Shkendija vs Struga

Shkendija vs Struga Prediction

Sunday, May 10, 2026

Shkendija
PPG 2.13 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
Struga
PPG 2.36 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.13), Away EXCELLENT (2.36)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.5%0-19.9%0-26.5%0-32.9%0-4+1.3%1 1-09.5%1-112.6%1-28.3%1-33.7%1-4+1.6%2 2-06.0%2-18.0%2-25.3%2-32.3%2-4+1.0%3 3-02.6%3-13.4%3-22.2%3-31.0%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-11.4%4+-20.9%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.2%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 36.8%
Draw 27.2%
Away win 36.0%
Over 2.5 52.3%
Over 3.5 26.2%
BTTS 54.6%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 24%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob54.6%

A 36% / xG 1.3-1.3 / O2.5 52% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.6%
#2 0–0 7.5%
#3 1–2 8.3%
#4 0–1 9.9%
#5 2–1 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Shkendija1.3
Struga1.3

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.3% · O3.5 PROB 26.2%

Form & verdict PPG

SHKENDIJA · PPG 2.13

STRUGA · PPG 2.36

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.13), Away EXCELLENT (2.36)

Win probability 1X2

Shkendija (H) 36.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 27.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Struga (A) 36.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Shkendija face Struga on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Shkendija a 37% chance, the draw 27% and Struga 36%, so Shkendija are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Shkendija and 1.3 for Struga (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Shkendija are averaging 2.13 points per game versus 2.36 for Struga.

PredictVantage

Free daily football predictions across 240+ leagues. A Poisson-based model analyses team form, attack and defence strength, and live bookmaker odds to surface value bets — updated every day, graded every night.

18+ only. PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Match dates and kick-off times come from third-party data and may change — confirm with official sources before betting. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. BeGambleAware.org