Today / Pelister vs Shkupi

Pelister vs Shkupi Prediction

Sunday, May 10, 2026

Pelister

PPG 1.29 · HOME

UPCOMING

Shkupi

PPG 0.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

No PPG data

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.0%0-12.4%0-20.7%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-010.4%1-16.3%1-21.9%1-30.4%1-4+0.1%2 2-013.6%2-18.3%2-22.5%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-011.9%3-17.2%3-22.2%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-014.7%4+-18.9%4+-22.7%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 67.8% — — —

Draw 22.8% — — —

Away win 9.4% — — —

Over 2.5 60.2% — — —

Over 3.5 40.3% — — —

BTTS 48.3% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 0 49%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.6 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob48.3%

H 68% / xG 2.6-0.6 / O2.5 60% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 13.6%

#2 3–0 11.9%

#3 1–0 10.4%

#4 2–1 8.3%

#5 4–0 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Pelister2.6

Shkupi0.6

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.2% · O3.5 PROB 40.3%

Form & verdict PPG

PELISTER · PPG 1.29

SHKUPI · PPG 0.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

40%

NEUTRAL

No PPG data

Win probability 1X2

Pelister (H) 67.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Shkupi (A) 9.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Pelister face Shkupi on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Pelister a 68% chance, the draw 23% and Shkupi 9%, so Pelister are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.6 for Pelister and 0.6 for Shkupi (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Pelister are averaging 1.29 points per game versus 0.00 for Shkupi.

Pelister vs Shkupi Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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