Today / Brera Strumica vs Rabotnicki

Brera Strumica vs Rabotnicki Prediction

Sunday, May 10, 2026

Brera Strumica

PPG 1.00 · HOME

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Rabotnicki

PPG 0.80 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.0 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.1%0-17.0%0-24.7%0-32.1%0-4+1.0%1 1-08.3%1-111.2%1-27.6%1-33.5%1-4+1.6%2 2-06.7%2-19.0%2-26.1%2-32.8%2-4+1.3%3 3-03.6%3-14.9%3-23.3%3-31.5%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-02.1%4+-12.8%4+-21.9%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.4% — — —

Draw 26.3% — — —

Away win 30.3% — — —

Over 2.5 59.3% — — —

Over 3.5 34.6% — — —

BTTS 58.8% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 45%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob58.8%

H 43% / xG 1.6-1.4 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.2%

#2 2–1 9.0%

#3 1–2 7.6%

#4 0–0 5.1%

#5 2–0 6.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Brera Strumica1.6

Rabotnicki1.4

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.3% · O3.5 PROB 34.6%

Form & verdict PPG

BRERA STRUMICA · PPG 1.00

RABOTNICKI · PPG 0.80

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away POOR (0.80)

Win probability 1X2

Brera Strumica (H) 43.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Rabotnicki (A) 30.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Brera Strumica face Rabotnicki on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Brera Strumica a 43% chance, the draw 26% and Rabotnicki 30%, so Brera Strumica are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Brera Strumica and 1.4 for Rabotnicki (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Brera Strumica are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 0.80 for Rabotnicki. This match finished 2-2.

Brera Strumica vs Rabotnicki Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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