Today / Szentlorinc vs Videoton FC

Szentlorinc vs Videoton FC Prediction

Sunday, May 10, 2026

Szentlorinc

PPG 1.14 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Videoton FC

PPG 1.14 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.14), Away AVERAGE (1.14)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.4%0-112.3%0-28.0%0-33.5%0-4+1.5%1 1-010.0%1-113.0%1-28.5%1-33.7%1-4+1.6%2 2-05.3%2-16.9%2-24.5%2-31.9%2-4+0.8%3 3-01.9%3-12.4%3-21.6%3-30.7%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.8%4+-20.5%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 34.5% — — —

Draw 28.1% — — —

Away win 37.4% — — —

Over 2.5 46.5% — — —

Over 3.5 21.3% — — —

BTTS 52.3% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 29%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob52.3%

D 28% / xG 1.1-1.3 / U2.5 46% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.0%

#2 0–0 9.4%

#3 0–1 12.3%

#4 1–2 8.5%

#5 1–0 10.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Szentlorinc1.1

Videoton FC1.3

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.5% · O3.5 PROB 21.3%

Form & verdict PPG

SZENTLORINC · PPG 1.14

VIDEOTON FC · PPG 1.14

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.14), Away AVERAGE (1.14)

Win probability 1X2

Szentlorinc (H) 34.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 28.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Videoton FC (A) 37.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Szentlorinc face Videoton FC on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Szentlorinc a 35% chance, the draw 28% and Videoton FC 37%, so Videoton FC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Szentlorinc and 1.3 for Videoton FC (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Szentlorinc are averaging 1.14 points per game versus 1.14 for Videoton FC. This match finished 2-1.

Szentlorinc vs Videoton FC Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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