Today / Schalding vs Turkgucu M.

Schalding vs Turkgucu M. Prediction

Bayern Süd - 30 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 12:00

Schalding logo
Schalding
PPG 1.15 · HOME
2 – 2
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME
Turkgucu M. logo
Turkgucu M.
PPG 0.14 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home team in AVERAGE form (1.15), Away POOR (0.14) - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.9%0-12.0%0-20.5%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-010.7%1-15.5%1-21.4%1-30.2%1-4+0.0%2 2-014.6%2-17.5%2-21.9%2-30.3%2-4+0.0%3 3-013.2%3-16.8%3-21.8%3-30.3%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-017.3%4+-18.9%4+-22.3%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 83.5%
Draw 11.7%
Away win 4.8%
Over 2.5 62.7%
Over 3.5 40.5%
BTTS 37.6%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 0 71%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 2-2
xG (home)2.7 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob37.6%

H 84% / xG 2.7-0.5 / O2.5 63% / NoBTTS 38%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 14.6%
#2 3–0 13.2%
#3 1–0 10.7%
#4 4–0 9.0%
#5 2–1 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Schalding2.7
Turkgucu M.0.5

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 62.7% · O3.5 PROB 40.5%

Form & verdict PPG

SCHALDING · PPG 1.15

TURKGUCU M. · PPG 0.14

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
66%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in AVERAGE form (1.15), Away POOR (0.14) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Schalding (H) 83.5%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 11.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Turkgucu M. (A) 4.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Schalding face Turkgucu M. on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Schalding a 84% chance, the draw 12% and Turkgucu M. 5%, so Schalding are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.7 for Schalding and 0.5 for Turkgucu M. (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 38% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Schalding are averaging 1.15 points per game versus 0.14 for Turkgucu M.. This match finished 2-2.

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