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Telavi vs Kolkheti Poti Prediction— Georgia - Erovnuli Liga 2

Regular Season - 12 ·Sunday, May 10, 2026, 15:00

Telavi

PPG 1.80 · HOME

3 – 1

FULL TIME

Kolkheti Poti

PPG 0.60 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.9%0-113.6%0-26.7%0-32.2%0-4+0.7%1 1-013.8%1-113.5%1-26.6%1-32.2%1-4+0.7%2 2-06.9%2-16.7%2-23.3%2-31.1%2-4+0.3%3 3-02.3%3-12.2%3-21.1%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-10.7%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.4% 47.6% 2.10 -25.7%

Draw 29.8% 31.3% 3.20 -2.8%

Away win 34.9% 32.3% 3.10 +8.2%

Over 2.5 36.0% 47.6% 2.10 -24.4%

Over 3.5 13.8% 27.9% 3.58 -30.4%

BTTS 48.2% 54.9% 1.82 -12.3%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 37 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 65%

BTTS 43%

Score Hit 57%

ROI 1.5%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 45%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-1

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob48.2%

D 30% / xG 1.0-1.0 / U2.5 36% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 13.9%

#2 1–1 13.5%

#3 1–0 13.8%

#4 0–1 13.6%

#5 2–0 6.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Telavi1.0

Kolkheti Poti1.0

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 36.0% · O3.5 PROB 13.8%

Form & verdict PPG

TELAVI · PPG 1.80

KOLKHETI POTI · PPG 0.60

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.80) vs P(Home)=35.4%

Win probability 1X2

Telavi (H) 35.4%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV -25.7%

Draw 29.8%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -2.8%

Kolkheti Poti (A) 34.9%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV +8.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Telavi face Kolkheti Poti in Georgia - Erovnuli Liga 2 on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Telavi a 35% chance, the draw 30% and Kolkheti Poti 35%, so Telavi are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Telavi and 1.0 for Kolkheti Poti (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Telavi are averaging 1.80 points per game versus 0.60 for Kolkheti Poti. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +8.2%. This match finished 3-1.

Telavi vs Kolkheti Poti Prediction— Georgia - Erovnuli Liga 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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